February 17, 2009
These three charts represent a case study in how data can be manipulated to tell a story. I’ll bet the one you saw the last week is the one on the bottom.



Tom O’Brien
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data visualization | Tagged: MotiveQuest, statistics, tomob, visualization |
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Posted by tomob
November 24, 2008
I’m sure most of you saw the front page WSJ article last week about Google and P&G. This is of great interest to me because it gets to the heart of one of my underlying hypotheses about why digital advertising will continue to grow at the expense of other media.
Right now brand marketers are way under-invested in digital marketing. All you have to do is see the chart below. TV has less than 20% of the time but 44% of the spending. Marketers are over invested in traditional media as compared to time spent there.

Sources: TNS Media Intelligence & Forrester Research
This has to change. The challenge, as I have learned from several of our client CMO’s is that it is really hard to spend money on digital, while it is relatively easy to shovel it out the door on 30 sec. TV spots.
We (agencies, researchers, etc.) need to work a lot harder to bring ideas to our clients on how to spend money and leverage programs via digital channels. As John Bell famously asks, if I spend another $100k on social media, what do I get?
TO’B
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marketing, social media | Tagged: digital ad spending, digital agencies, MotiveQuest, spending, tomob |
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Posted by tomob
November 20, 2008
Turns out we are a key account for Potbelly’s in Evanston. They are right across the street from MotiveQuest World Headquarters and Tish makes a cookie run almost every afternoon. (Not to mention all the sandwiches!)
Yesterday Tish went over for a sandwich and they said “thank goodness you’re here – we just tried to deliver this box full of warm chocolate chip oatmeal cookies but we couldn’t figure out how to get up to your office” Tish came back to the office not only with her sandwich, but with a box full of warm cookies of the office.
They can count MotiveQuest as a Key Account for life!
TO’B
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social media, word of mouth | Tagged: MotiveQuest, potbelly, tomob, word of mouth |
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Posted by tomob
November 10, 2008
I had a call with a client today. They are a huge, global company, and we have been doing brand tracking & analysis for them for several years.
They have a newly formed social media team, and I had a call with them today. I thought their questions (and my answers) might be relevant to others as well. Here is my follow-up email:
—————————————————————————-
It was great to talk to you and your team just now. You have a big (and exciting) job ahead; here are my thoughts.
- Social media is about human scale engagement – not technology
- SM is about relationships, not campaigns. Plan accordingly
- SM cuts across silos. It will involve marketing, product, customer service and legal (at least). Doing it well will require C level approval AND support.
- Success in SM requires putting the community’s motivations first. This is very hard for most companies to grasp. It is not about selling something, but about getting people to love you so they will do more business with you. A subtle, but important distinction. Put the community’s motivations first.
- Successful SM will connect to something people are already passionate about. Figure out what it is first.
I could go on, but you get the idea 
Links & Info
Here are our decks on slideshare:
MotiveQuest SlideShare
You already read Groundswell – which I think is a really good book on this subject – here is my review of Groundswell.
Peter Kim @ Mashable: List of Social Media Marketing Examples
Another good one with lots of comments from Peter Kim: What is Social Media Marketing
Chris Brogan: A good Blog on social media marketing – pretty PR focused.
Jeremiah Owyang – analyst for Forrester has good coverage of SM but heavy on tools: Web Stratgy by Jeremiah
And finally, a really interesting and different social media execution: Layer Tennis – watch a match and you will get it – be sure to click thru the volleys.
http://layertennis.com/071026/
Take a look at the results the CS3 launch was a HUGE success for Adobe (and their agency – Goodby).

CS3 Launch
Call me if you have any questions or would like to discuss further –
TO’B
5 Comments |
social media | Tagged: adobe, brogan, Goodby, layer tennis, MotiveQuest, owyang, Peter Kim, SM, social media, tomob |
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Posted by tomob
November 4, 2008
I don’t know if that is a landslide or not – but here is our prediction for the final popular vote tally. I suspect the electoral college vote will be nowhere this close.
OBAMA: 53%
MCCAIN: 46%
(Yes, I know that doesn’t add up to 100%, there are other candidates.)

TO’B
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online research, social media | Tagged: Brand Advocacy, mccain, MotiveQuest, obama, tomob |
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Posted by tomob
October 23, 2008
We sent out an email blast last week about our BrandAdvocacy ‘08 website and got some questions back from Josh Bernoff at Forrester (blogging here).
Here are his questions – and our answers. (By the way, Josh’s questions were pretty representative of the questions we are getting from everyone.)
1. Is there a bias in people who create or react to content online towards the democratic and liberal candidates?
- First, if you look at the trend data on Brandadvocay08 it is clear that sometimes Obama has led and sometimes McCain has led, so on a very simple level this does not seem to be true.

- Second, when we created the dataset we were careful to create a representative dataset of both ordinary people and political commentators. For example on the site we have links to one of each for Democrats http://www.topix.com/forum/us/democrat and for Republicans http://www.topix.com/forum/us/republican. We found that there are plenty of Republicans who are online also.
- In addition we can look at the underlying constant of regression the CNN Poll of Polls and Obama’s Online Promoter™ Score to determine if there is an “online bias”. The CNN Poll of Polls shows a constant of 50.8%, MQ’s OPS shows a constant of 49.6%.
- MQ’s data does not reflect a particularly liberal bias, other slices of data might, if we look more recently perhaps one could be emerging but over the 9/1 to 10/20 time frame there doesn’t appear to be one.
- This also depends on your belief in the bias of the poll of polls; I’m not a polling person and can’t say if there is a bias in the poll of polls.
2. Do people online just like to talk about the Wow activities (like Sarah Palin on Saturday Night Live) vs the real Issues?
- Every day we highlight the words that are most highly correlated with each candidate.

- They show what issues the nation is associating with each candidate. Sometimes it is true that they focus on the Wow stories but we see that they are just as likely to be seriously discussing the real issues (taxes, God, wealth, etc). Don’t underestimate the power of forums as a place everyday people share their fears and thoughts with others like them. For example take a look at this discussion on Parenting.com’s forums
3. How does Online advocacy relate to traditional polls?
- From one perspective, its apples and oranges, polls attempt to measure the outcome of the presidential election if it were held on a particular day, MQ is measuring the number of people who are advocating a particular candidate.
- On the flip side, if you believe as we do that people advocating to each other is an important piece of the future success of brands, products (and candidates) then we hope to show that the candidate with the most advocates will be the winner of the election.
- Important caveat, we don’t have an electoral college or battleground states so at best we can hope to use advocacy as an indicator of the popular vote.
- Using the data from the CNN Poll of Polls as a comparison metric, HYPOTHETICALLY, let’s assume that CNN Poll of Polls represents “truth”, we can apply straight forward regression to determine if the Advocacy metric for Obama is statistically related to the Poll of Polls data.
- Regression shows that Obama’s Online Promoter™ score is statistically significant in linkage to the CNN’s poll of Polls results at > 98%

- Furthermore, we can look to see if perhaps MQ’s results might lead the traditional polling methods; the relation appears strongest at 4-days leading.

The strongest statistical link from Obama’s Online Promoter™ Score to the CNN Poll of Poll’s results appears when we make Obama’s
OPS a 4-day leading indicator of the Poll of Polls
Obviously this detailed post may raise even more questions – feel free to post them in the comments section.
TO’B
1 Comment |
consumer generated media, online research, social media | Tagged: bernoff, Brand Advocacy, brandadvocacy08, Forrester, mccain, MotiveQuest, obama, palin, tomob |
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Posted by tomob
October 1, 2008
On Friday afternoon I returned to the Hertz LAX location at 12:30 PM with 1 hour until my flight left. If I didn’t make the flight, I would be stuck at LAX for at least 6 hours. To make things worse, I was flying on United – which at LAX is the last of 9 stops that the Hertz bus makes.
So I got out of the car and started sprinting toward the bus. Someone called out “Sir, Sir”. I turned around, thinking someone wanted to give me a receipt when a Hertz employee named Walter told me to get back in the car so he could drive me around to United.
We had a nice chat and Walter told me that LAX has a policy of trying to help disabled people, families and those running really late (like me) get to the terminal quickly.
Well, I made my plane and got home to see my family that night thanks to the initiative and efforts of Walter at LAX. This is a great example of one person going above and beyond the call of duty to help someone – and I definitely appreciate it.
Please pass on my thanks to Walter and to his supervisor.
Tom O’Brien
Hertz Fan Forevermore
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consumer generated media | Tagged: hertz, tomob |
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Posted by tomob